I do not know.
My gut tells me that three weeks is not going to be enough time.
I am not a doctor of contagious diseases. My brother's (Director of Out-patient Nursing Care) sister-in-law is a Contagious Disease RN trainer. She is one of 80 (Only 80? Well sadly, there is long /short story about that.) certified by the CDC in the United States. He shared some information that she learned via a teleconference on 3/12/20. Combine that with what I am reading and here are my thoughts.
I remain of the opinion that we were safe this past weekend in northern Indiana. Probably even another week. Closing schools, church, and other gatherings was likely a wasted week off for those of us living in rural Indiana. It appears that by the end of March and early April that we will need that time. I guess I am agreeing with what the British (I did not even know I was agreeing with the British until last night) are doing and the why.
Their assumption is can the economy handle six to eight weeks off? Can we , as a society, handle the cabin fever that is associated with the most sever forms of social isolation for a month and a half? Two months? The British are attempting to hold off strict social isolation for another couple of weeks.
The necessity of social isolation medically in high stress (a Washington Post term) environments starts now. For the weekend of 3/15, that means urban, coastal environments. Maybe Chicago? The clock is running. Three weeks started already. Approximately two weeks incubation followed by a week of illness.
Meanwhile, for most of the rural Corn Belt, The Great Plains, the Inter-mountain West and the Upper South, fly-over land, the balance of economic/social losses vrs. medical benefits is marginal with isolating now. Our three weeks starts in two to four weeks. A New York Times article reports that the traveling involved with spring breaks will accelerate the introduction/spread of the virus into middle America. Fine, the end of March is when things get ugly here in Corn Country, Indiana. That is when our three weeks should be starting. Not on March 13.
(please click on the "Read More" for club specific news)
My gut tells me that three weeks is not going to be enough time.
I am not a doctor of contagious diseases. My brother's (Director of Out-patient Nursing Care) sister-in-law is a Contagious Disease RN trainer. She is one of 80 (Only 80? Well sadly, there is long /short story about that.) certified by the CDC in the United States. He shared some information that she learned via a teleconference on 3/12/20. Combine that with what I am reading and here are my thoughts.
I remain of the opinion that we were safe this past weekend in northern Indiana. Probably even another week. Closing schools, church, and other gatherings was likely a wasted week off for those of us living in rural Indiana. It appears that by the end of March and early April that we will need that time. I guess I am agreeing with what the British (I did not even know I was agreeing with the British until last night) are doing and the why.
Their assumption is can the economy handle six to eight weeks off? Can we , as a society, handle the cabin fever that is associated with the most sever forms of social isolation for a month and a half? Two months? The British are attempting to hold off strict social isolation for another couple of weeks.
The necessity of social isolation medically in high stress (a Washington Post term) environments starts now. For the weekend of 3/15, that means urban, coastal environments. Maybe Chicago? The clock is running. Three weeks started already. Approximately two weeks incubation followed by a week of illness.
Meanwhile, for most of the rural Corn Belt, The Great Plains, the Inter-mountain West and the Upper South, fly-over land, the balance of economic/social losses vrs. medical benefits is marginal with isolating now. Our three weeks starts in two to four weeks. A New York Times article reports that the traveling involved with spring breaks will accelerate the introduction/spread of the virus into middle America. Fine, the end of March is when things get ugly here in Corn Country, Indiana. That is when our three weeks should be starting. Not on March 13.
(please click on the "Read More" for club specific news)
Working off of that assumption, I do not see club starting back until after Easter at the earliest.
I am hoping I am wrong and the return date at Carroll holds up and is 4/6, but I am not banking on that.
My next assumption is that the IHSAA spring sports seasons will be cancelled. According to a writer for the Indianapolis Star, they are most likely facing cancellation even if schools start back on 4/6. If I am correct regarding 4/20, they are definitely toast.
Either way, we will have plenty of access to gym space during the week. We will start practicing twice a week, one weeknight and then on the weekend, or one week night and then competition on the weekend.
I am beginning to speak with directors who might be interested in playing one additional weekend. The power league used to play until the 2nd weekend of May regularly. We have not done so in a number of years. Maybe we will again this year due to the loss of practices and play dates on 3/14, 4/5, my bet is 4/11 and even 4/19.
Lastly, I doubt if I post much for the coming week or two. We (directors) spent a ton of time discussing and planning competition and practices for yesterday and today, March 15, only to have all that planning done away with in seconds when the AAU suspended competition insurance, Carroll schools closed, Indiana said no gatherings of more than 250 people (Tippy Valley closed), and Taylor U. said they did not want outsiders on campus.
Unless something special needs attention, I will start to post come the start of April. Meanwhile, be safe. If you have questions, give a shout. Talk in a couple of weeks. dc
I am hoping I am wrong and the return date at Carroll holds up and is 4/6, but I am not banking on that.
My next assumption is that the IHSAA spring sports seasons will be cancelled. According to a writer for the Indianapolis Star, they are most likely facing cancellation even if schools start back on 4/6. If I am correct regarding 4/20, they are definitely toast.
Either way, we will have plenty of access to gym space during the week. We will start practicing twice a week, one weeknight and then on the weekend, or one week night and then competition on the weekend.
I am beginning to speak with directors who might be interested in playing one additional weekend. The power league used to play until the 2nd weekend of May regularly. We have not done so in a number of years. Maybe we will again this year due to the loss of practices and play dates on 3/14, 4/5, my bet is 4/11 and even 4/19.
Lastly, I doubt if I post much for the coming week or two. We (directors) spent a ton of time discussing and planning competition and practices for yesterday and today, March 15, only to have all that planning done away with in seconds when the AAU suspended competition insurance, Carroll schools closed, Indiana said no gatherings of more than 250 people (Tippy Valley closed), and Taylor U. said they did not want outsiders on campus.
Unless something special needs attention, I will start to post come the start of April. Meanwhile, be safe. If you have questions, give a shout. Talk in a couple of weeks. dc
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